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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
2 - 1
Swindon

Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
32.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)23.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)57.32% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09%48.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 32.78%
    Swindon Town 43.86%
    Draw 23.35%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 43.86%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210
> League Two Full Table


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