League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley3 - 1Swindon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Crawley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Forest Green
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Swindon Town
Clashes like this are often tight and intense, with both teams desperate not to lose ground as they are level on points. However, the recent trend in this fixture favours whichever team is at home and we think this trend will continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.62%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.36% ( 0.31) | 22.54% ( -0.1) | 38.1% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
