League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 0
Crawley

Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Colchester
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Crawley Town

The teams boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we are tipping them both to find the back of the net. However, MK Dons have been more solid defensively, and we just about fancy them to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Crawley Town
53.52% ( 0.06)	22.49% ( -0.02)	24% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28% (

0.05)

40.72% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.9% (

0.05)

63.1% (

-0.05)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

0.04)

15.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.1% (

0.07)

43.9% (

-0.07)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

-0.01)

30.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

-0.01)

66.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 53.52%

Crawley Town 24%

Draw 22.48%

MK Dons	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.52%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24%