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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Grimsby Town |
45.79% ( 0.22) | 24.18% ( -0.11) | 30.02% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.45% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( 0.43) | 43.81% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.8% ( 0.42) | 66.2% ( -0.42) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( 0.26) | 19.29% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% ( 0.43) | 51.04% ( -0.43) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( 0.14) | 27.57% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% ( 0.18) | 63.09% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |