League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Moor Lane

Salford City
2 - 4
MK Dons

N'Mai (36'), Watson (45+2' pen.)
Lund (33'), Wood (34'), Mariappa (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dean (10'), Tomlinson (50', 72'), Harrison (88')
Williams (67'), Tomlinson (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	MK Dons
31.63% ( -0.02)	23.52% ( -0)	44.84% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07% (

0.01)

39.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.71% (

0.01)

62.28% (

-0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

-0)

24.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

-0.01)

59.13% (

0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

0.01)

18.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

0.02)

49.09% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Salford City 31.64%

MK Dons 44.84%

Draw 23.52%

Salford City	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 44.84%