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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
38.97% ( -1) | 24.67% ( 0.07) | 36.36% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.85% ( -0.22) | 44.15% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.47% ( -0.21) | 66.53% ( 0.21) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.59) | 22.56% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( -0.89) | 56.15% ( 0.89) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( 0.41) | 23.92% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.59) | 58.14% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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