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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
0 - 3
Salford City


Reeves (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Salford City

Gillingham have been stronger at home than on the road this season, but despite having that improved form it is still unlikely that they will take three points this weekend. Salford City must get back to winning ways in the league to keep the pressure on the other teams pushing for promotion, and that is what they should be able to do here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
31.73% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.07% (-0.3 -0.3) 40.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (1.074 1.07)59% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (0.826 0.83)79.47% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (0.64 0.64)34.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.681 0.68)70.81% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.64200000000001 0.64)28.72% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.791 0.79)64.55% (-0.785 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.72%
    Salford City 40.2%
    Draw 28.06%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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