League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
Odoh (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (61')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Salford City

Rochdale will be looking to get one over Salford City following their penalty shootout defeat in October's EFL Trophy clash. However, the Dale have suffered a drop-off in recent weeks, losing four of their last five outings. We predict that Salford will maintain their fine away form and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Salford City
36.77% ( 2.28)	27.12% ( 0.24)	36.11% ( -2.52)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

-0.84)

54.86% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

-0.7)

76.16% (

0.7)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

0.99)

28.72% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

1.22)

64.55% (

-1.22)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-1.88)

29.12% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-2.38)

65.05% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 36.76%

Salford City 36.1%

Draw 27.12%

Rochdale	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.1%