MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:19:17| >> :600:496936:496936:
Salford City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
4 - 3
Man Utd U21s

McAleny (24'), Lund (27', 87' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Collins (37'), Da Costa (42'), McAleny (55'), Lund (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shoretire (7', 51'), Forson (47')
Collier (45+3'), Shoretire (45+5'), Bennett (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Salford City and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fulham U21s 1-1 Man Utd U21s
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawManchester United Under-21s
53.27% (-0.146 -0.15) 20.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.37% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 69.68% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.09% (0.114 0.11)27.91% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.37% (0.14 0.14)48.63% (-0.142 -0.14)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.05% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)10.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.149 0.15)21.75% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (0.227 0.23)54.93% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 53.27%
    Manchester United Under-21s 26.37%
    Draw 20.35%
Salford CityDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.54% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
0-6
Man Utd U21s

Doyle (6'), Denny (68')
Mejbri (8'), Puigmal (29'), Helm (46', 73'), McCann (70'), Elanga (74')
Mejbri (79')
rhs 2.0
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