EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 31, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
4 - 3
Man Utd U21s

McAleny (24'), Lund (27', 87' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Collins (37'), Da Costa (42'), McAleny (55'), Lund (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shoretire (7', 51'), Forson (47')
Collier (45+3'), Shoretire (45+5'), Bennett (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Salford City and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Fulham U21s 1-1 Man Utd U21s
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
53.27% ( -0.15)	20.35% ( 0)	26.37% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 69.68% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.09% (

0.11)

27.91% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.37% (

0.14)

48.63% (

-0.14)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.05% (

-0)

10.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.84% (

-0)

35.16% (

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

0.15)

21.75% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

0.23)

54.93% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Salford City 53.27%

Manchester United Under-21s 26.37%

Draw 20.35%

Salford City	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.37%