Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aug 26, 2023 at 12pm UK

Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd U21s
10 - 1
Stoke U21s

Hansen-Aaroen (8', 72'), Mather (88'), Macarai (23' og.), Williams (32', 34'), Oyedele (40'), Hugill (45+6' pen.), Mejia (63'), Wheatley (66')

FT(HT: 6-1)

Kambwala (45+1' og.)
Kershaw (5'), McGuinness (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Man Utd U21s (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Stoke U21s 2-1 Wolves U21s
Monday, August 21 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 10-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
54.26% ( 0.33)	20.15% ( -0.1)	25.59% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 69.64% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.35% (

0.26)

27.65% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.7% (

0.32)

48.3% (

-0.32)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.4% (

0.17)

10.6% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.61% (

0.38)

34.39% (

-0.38)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

-0.01)

22.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53% (

-0.02)

55.47% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 54.26%

Stoke City Under-21s 25.59%

Draw 20.15%

Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.26%	1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.15%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.59%