MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:08:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Derby U21s
1 - 6
Stoke U21s

Blu Lo-Everton (59')
Oduroh (69'), Gough (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
James-Taylor (47' pen., 70'), Jeffers (49'), Holland-Wilkinson (52', 90'), McGuinness (74')
Kabeya (35'), Lewis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 4-1 Stoke U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

We said: Derby County Under-21s 1-2 Stoke City Under-21s

With Derby's solitary point this season having come in recent weeks, they will possess a certain level of belief. However, we feel that the visitors should have enough quality in their ranks to edge a hard-fought fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
30.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 22.94% (-0.118 -0.12) 46.29% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (0.418 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.47% (0.554 0.55)37.53% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.24% (0.595 0.59)59.76% (-0.603 -0.6)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.26700000000001 0.27)23.98% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.383 0.38)58.23% (-0.392 -0.39)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.252 0.25)16.63% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.461 0.46)46.45% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 30.76%
    Stoke City Under-21s 46.29%
    Draw 22.93%
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 46.29%

How you voted: Derby U21s vs Stoke U21s

Derby County Under-21s
23.1%
Draw
23.1%
Stoke City Under-21s
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 7pm
Stoke U21s
4-0
Derby U21s
Tezgel (4', 13'), Lowe (64'), McGuinness (87')
Adebambo (32')
rhs 2.0
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