MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:25:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')
Turner (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ibrahim (29')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland U21s 1-3 Saints U21s
Monday, November 7 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Stoke U21s 4-0 Derby U21s
Monday, November 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
79.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 12.46%8.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.13%4.87% (-0.00090000000000057 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 79.34%
    Derby County Under-21s 8.2%
    Draw 12.46%
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 8.21%
2-1 @ 8.15%
4-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.77%
5-1 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.85%
6-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-1 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 6.19%
Total : 79.34%
1-1 @ 5.39%
2-2 @ 3.74%
0-0 @ 1.94%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 12.46%
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 8.2%

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