Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.