Norwich U21s2 - 1Derby U21s
Ibrahim (6'), Clarke (65'), Solomon (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 18 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
for
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.27%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.57% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 4-1 (5.76%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
69.27% ( 0.48) | 15.16% ( -0.18) | 15.57% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 72.75% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.3% ( 0.32) | 17.7% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
65.26% ( 0.47) | 34.74% ( -0.47) |
Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.13% ( 0.15) | 4.87% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.42% ( 0.44) | 19.58% ( -0.43) |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% ( -0.03) | 23.52% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.44% ( -0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 6-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 5-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.8% Total : 69.27% | 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 15.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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