Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.