Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.