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FA Cup
Grimsby Town
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
7 - 2
Slough

Pyke (7', 45'), Rose (16'), Gnahoua (65', 85'), Hunt (81'), Andrews (86')
Gnahoua (32'), Amos (54'), Pyke (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Dyce (20'), Ogbonna (34')
Dyce (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Slough Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Slough Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Welling United 4-3 Slough
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South

We said: Grimsby Town 3-1 Slough Town

 With a taste for goals on the road and nothing to lose at Blundell Park, Slough are not to be underestimated by their more esteemed counterparts, but ongoing rearguard concerns could prove to be their downfall. It has been nine years since Grimsby last suffered an FA Cup proper home defeat, and we expect the Mariners to prolong that golden streak and bring the Slough fairytale to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Slough Town win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSlough Town
69.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 17.73% (0.0040000000000013 0) 13% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.14% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)9.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)32.19% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.23% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.029 -0.03)76.86% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 69.27%
    Slough Town 13%
    Draw 17.73%
Grimsby TownDrawSlough Town
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 69.27%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.73%
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 13%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Slough

Grimsby Town
81.1%
Draw
5.4%
Slough Town
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
First Round
Slough
1-1
Grimsby Town
Davies (28')
Bayliss (66'), Eweka (90+4')
Rose (75')
Clifton (33'), Efete (48'), Maher (89'), Hunt (90+1')
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