League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons
There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11% . A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%) . The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result Morecambe Draw MK Dons 29.93% ( -0.21) 24.96% ( -0.02) 45.11% ( 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.04)
52.69% ( 0.01) 47.31% ( -0.01)
30.46% ( 0) 69.54% ( -0)
70.62% ( -0.14) 29.39% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.63% ( -0.17) 65.37% ( 0.18)
78.99% ( 0.11) 21.02% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.2% ( 0.17) 53.8% ( -0.16)
Morecambe 29.93%
MK Dons 45.11%
Draw 24.95%
Morecambe Draw MK Dons 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.93% 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.11%
How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons
26
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-20 11:57:18
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