League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons
There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | MK Dons |
29.93% ( -0.21) | 24.96% ( -0.02) | 45.11% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.01) | 47.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0) | 69.54% ( -0) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.14) | 29.39% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.63% ( -0.17) | 65.37% ( 0.18) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.11) | 21.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.2% ( 0.17) | 53.8% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 29.93%
MK Dons 45.11%
Draw 24.95%
| Morecambe | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.11% |
How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons
Morecambe
23.1%Draw
19.2%MK Dons
57.7%26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
