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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Colchester United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Colchester

Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Read (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Colchester United

Buoyed by their victory over Salford, Colchester will head into the Boxing Day clash with renewed belief as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of their last five League Two home games. MK Dons are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawColchester United
53.21% (0.315 0.31) 23.15% (-0.058 -0.06) 23.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.111 0.11)16.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (0.201 0.2)46.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.223 -0.22)32.53% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.25 -0.25)69.05% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.21%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 23.15%
MK DonsDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Colchester

MK Dons
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Colchester
2-3
MK Dons
Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Colchester
Alli (11'), Afobe (37', 45', 58'), Reeves (67' pen.), Hodson (91')

Fox (33'), Kpekawa (52')
Packwood (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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