League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 0
Colchester

Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Read (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Salford City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Colchester United

Buoyed by their victory over Salford, Colchester will head into the Boxing Day clash with renewed belief as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of their last five League Two home games. MK Dons are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Colchester United
53.21% ( 0.31)	23.15% ( -0.06)	23.65% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

-0)

44.07% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

-0)

66.45% (

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

0.11)

16.54% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.7% (

0.2)

46.3% (

-0.2)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47% (

-0.22)

32.53% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.94% (

-0.25)

69.05% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 53.21%

Colchester United 23.65%

Draw 23.15%

MK Dons	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.21%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.65%