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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Gillingham
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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Salford City

Accrington
3 - 0
Salford City

Whalley (14'), Nolan (33' pen., 40')
Gubbins (17'), Martin (45+3'), Woods (67'), Woods (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bolton (64'), Tilt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Accrington
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Grimsby Town
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Salford City

 Salford City are in desperate need of a positive result here to bring some much-needed positivity to the dressing room, but it is hard to see that happening with the side showing very little to suggest that a comeback in the second half of the season is on the cards. Accrington Stanley will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a deflated Ammies squad, and we feel they will hand their opponents a fourth consecutive league defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
46.38% (-0.163 -0.16) 23.78% (0.145 0.15) 29.84% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.496 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.659 -0.66)42.06% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.664 -0.66)64.46% (0.666 0.67)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)18.36% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.55 -0.55)49.47% (0.552 0.55)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.315 -0.31)26.81% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)62.1% (0.418 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.38%
    Salford City 29.84%
    Draw 23.78%
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Salford City
1-2
Accrington
Watson (88' pen.)
Garbutt (20'), Tilt (39'), Hendry (89')
Whalley (24'), Andrews (45')
Andrews (35'), Bagueloc'rich (38'), Whalley (87')
Sep 20, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Salford City
0-0
Accrington
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Salford City
2-1
Accrington
Burgess (45'), Elliott (49')
Conway (54'), Hogan (83')
Finley (11')
Alese (13'), Finley (35'), Johnson (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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