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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
38.44% ( -0.59) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 36.62% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.61% ( -0.39) | 45.39% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -0.38) | 67.73% ( 0.38) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.48) | 23.38% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.7) | 57.36% ( 0.7) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% ( 0.09) | 24.35% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( 0.13) | 58.75% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |