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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
3 - 2
Colchester

Clarke (15'), Drinan (82'), Cox (90+8' pen.)
Sobowale (45+1'), Barden (60'), Cox (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Payne (44' pen., 61' pen.)
McDonnell (30'), Gordon (45+1'), Iandolo (78')
Iandolo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Swindon
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-2 Colchester United

At least three or more goals have been scored the last four times these teams have met in a competitive fixture, and we expect another strong attacking display for each on Wednesday, but no one finding that decisive advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
43.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 26.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)23.85% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.015999999999991 0.02)32.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.92%
    Colchester United 29.85%
    Draw 26.23%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
Draw
Colchester United
Swindon Town
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Colchester United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Colchester
4-0
Swindon
Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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