Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
54.71% ( -1.14) | 22.92% ( 0.14) | 22.37% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% ( 0.59) | 44.45% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% ( 0.57) | 66.82% ( -0.57) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.86% ( -0.19) | 16.15% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.42% ( -0.34) | 45.58% ( 0.34) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( 1.27) | 33.87% ( -1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% ( 1.36) | 70.54% ( -1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |