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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nantes

Lille
1 - 1
Nantes

FT(HT: 1-0)
Abline (70' pen.)
Cozza (73'), Castelletto (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rouen 0-1 Lille
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Drancy JA 0-4 Nantes
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

No current coaches have managed more Ligue 1 games than Bruno Genesio (246) or the vastly experienced Antoine Kombouare (521), yet there has never been a draw between them in the French top flight. That trend will continue this weekend, when a confident Lille side should make light work of Nantes, who offer little threat and continue to concede goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
54.71% (-1.143 -1.14) 22.92% (0.136 0.14) 22.37% (1.004 1)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.947 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.588 0.59)44.45% (-0.59 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.566 0.57)66.82% (-0.568 -0.57)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.188 -0.19)16.15% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (-0.341 -0.34)45.58% (0.338 0.34)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (1.275 1.27)33.87% (-1.277 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (1.358 1.36)70.54% (-1.359 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.71%
    Nantes 22.37%
    Draw 22.91%
LilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.217 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
86.4%
Draw
10.2%
Nantes
3.4%
59
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Abline (54')
Mohamed (33'), Lafont (44'), Pallois (60'), Sissoko (74')
David (8', 11')
Zhegrova (44'), Bentaleb (81')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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