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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-3 Marseille

 While Marseille's tally of four away wins is the second-most in Europe's big five leagues in 2024, no team in the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga or Bundesliga has fewer than Nantes' one home victory in the whole of 2024. Another miserable Beaujoire outing surely awaits for the Canaris faithful, whose side are adept at finding the back of the net, but Marseille's rampant attackers will surely expose their defensive vulnerabilities time and time again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 24.7% (0.247 0.25) 47.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-1.024 -1.02)47.48% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.956 -0.96)69.7% (0.95899999999999 0.96)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.08% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.565 -0.56)67.39% (0.569 0.57)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.02% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.875 -0.88)52.21% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.71%
    Marseille 47.58%
    Draw 24.7%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.58%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
6.6%
Draw
17.9%
Marseille
75.5%
106
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
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Marseille
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Nantes
Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

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> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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