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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
PSG logo

Marseille
0 - 3
PSG


Hojbjerg (18')
Harit (20')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Neves (7'), Balerdi (29' og.), Barcola (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

With PSG winless during their last three away matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League, Marseille should be quietly confident of earning a positive result on Sunday afternoon. That being said, after a respectable point versus PSV on the continent, we are expecting Les Parisiens to build some momentum by collecting three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
39.57% (-0.89 -0.89) 23.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 37.13% (0.892 0.89)
Both teams to score 64.16% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (0.117 0.12)37.37% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.41% (0.127 0.13)59.59% (-0.128 -0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.346 -0.35)19.33% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)51.1% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.491 0.49)20.47% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (0.775 0.77)52.94% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 39.57%
    Paris Saint-Germain 37.13%
    Draw 23.29%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.13%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille
37.1%
Draw
19.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
43.4%
143
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-2
PSG
Vitinha (53'), Ramos (85')
Beraldo (15'), Hernandez (38'), Pereira (40'), Donnarumma (45')
Beraldo (40')
Sep 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
4-0
Marseille
Hakimi (8'), Kolo (37'), Ramos (47', 89')

Gigot (73'), Veretout (82'), Lodi (85')
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-3
PSG
Mbappe (25', 55'), Messi (29')
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
Round of 16
Marseille
2-1
PSG
Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Ramos (45+2')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
1-0
Marseille
Neymar (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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