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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Strasbourg

PSG
4 - 2
Strasbourg

Mayulu (18'), Asensio (47'), Barcola (66'), Kang-in (90')
Beraldo (61'), Skriniar (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mara (58'), Daouda Diongu (90+2')
Senaya (10'), Sow (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 PSG
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

 Strasbourg have been one of the overachievers in the early weeks of the campaign, but their away form and record at PSG gives them little chance here. PSG have never lost in 33 previous home clashes with their upcoming opponents, and they are set to maintain their 100% home record so far this season, having already won four from four here in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
73.22% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 15.76% (-0.284 -0.28) 11.01% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.834 0.83)32.65% (-0.843 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.961 0.96)54.32% (-0.97 -0.97)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.29300000000001 0.29)7.68% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.6% (0.762 0.76)27.39% (-0.771 -0.77)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.236 0.24)40.52% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.214 0.21)77.12% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 73.22%
    Strasbourg 11.01%
    Draw 15.76%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.92% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.63% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.088 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.066 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.81% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 11.01%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
82.5%
Draw
11.3%
Strasbourg
6.2%
97
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Strasbourg
1-2
PSG
Bakwa (68')
Sissoko (27'), Mwanga (54'), Senaya (63'), Vieira (77')
Mbappe (31'), Asensio (49')
Hernandez (30')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
3-0
Strasbourg
Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
> Match Report
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
> Preview
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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