PSG

1 - 0

Girona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.