Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 1
Nantes

David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Montpellier
Saturday, May 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Nantes
73.29% ( 1.1)	17.05% ( -0.55)	9.66% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.77% (

0.85)

43.23% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.37% (

0.84)

65.63% (

-0.84)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.69% (

0.51)

10.31% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.26% (

1.15)

33.73% (

-1.15)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.71% (

-0.55)

50.28% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.14% (

-0.38)

84.85% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Lille 73.28%

Nantes 9.66%

Draw 17.05%

Lille	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.28%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.05%	0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.66%