MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 08:23:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Nantes

Lens
3 - 2
Nantes

Frankowski (21' pen.), Ojediran (86'), Thomasson (90')
Medina (35'), Labeau (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simon (36' pen.), Cozza (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Lens
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

Lens have been very strong at the back, but offer little threat in attack, and that could be costly here in a game they are expected to win. Kombouare is under pressure, but has only lost one of his 12 matches against his former employers as a manager, and while an elusive win may be beyond them, they could take something here against a feeble Lens side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
57.53% (0.319 0.32) 23.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.75% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-0.246 -0.25)52.25% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.213 -0.21)73.95% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.78% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)42.05% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52% (-0.412 -0.41)78.48% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.52%
    Nantes 18.75%
    Draw 23.71%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.75%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
47.6%
Draw
47.6%
Nantes
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Nantes
0-1
Lens

Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')
Costa (48')
Aguilar (81'), Danso (82')
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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