Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
57.53% ( 0.32) | 23.72% ( -0.04) | 18.75% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% ( -0.25) | 52.25% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% ( -0.21) | 73.95% ( 0.21) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0.03) | 17.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 0.05) | 48.78% ( -0.05) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.94% ( -0.47) | 42.05% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.52% ( -0.41) | 78.48% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |