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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Lincoln City

Birmingham
vs.
Lincoln

Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round clash between Birmingham City and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-3 Birmingham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw has a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lincoln City has a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Lincoln City win it is 0-1 (4.95%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
65.76% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 20.6% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 13.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.91% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65% (0.031999999999996 0.03)41.35% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.46% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.87% (-0.032 -0.03)82.13% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 65.75%
    Lincoln City 13.64%
    Draw 20.6%
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.64%

Who will win Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham and Lincoln?

Birmingham City
Draw
Lincoln City
Birmingham City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Lincoln
1-3
Birmingham
Anderson (14', 79'), Thor Willumsson (52')
Klarer (47'), Cochrane (50'), Iwata (85')
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
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20Southampton2013161244-326


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