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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


Montsma (10'), Darikwa (54')
FT

Kemp (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Stevenage

With Lincoln having lost their last three fixtures, Stevenage will fancy themselves to earn something from this game. Given that the visitors have also struggled for wins of late, a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
40.12% (0.772 0.77) 29.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 30.86% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 44.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56% (0.143 0.14)62.43% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94% (0.103 0.1)82.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.52800000000001 0.53)30.46% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.624 0.62)66.66% (-0.628 -0.63)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.434 -0.43)36.6% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (-0.438 -0.44)73.39% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.11%
    Stevenage 30.86%
    Draw 29.01%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
Draw
Stevenage
Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln

Smith (48'), Aboh (84'), Piergianni (90+11')
Moylan (71' pen.)
House (32'), Erhahon (44'), O'Connor (66'), Draper (90')
O'Connor (90+10')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Lincoln
0-0
Stevenage
House (33'), Erhahon (36')
Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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