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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Lincoln City

Stevenage
1 - 0
Lincoln

Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, which have all been in League Two. Indeed, Stevenage have not beaten Saturday's opponents in any competition since March 2011, but we are backing them to secure a narrow success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawLincoln City
59.9% (0.0010000000000048 0) 22.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 59.9%
    Lincoln City 17.13%
    Draw 22.96%
StevenageDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Lincoln

Stevenage
Draw
Lincoln City
Stevenage
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Lincoln City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Lincoln
Wilson (37', 60')
Grimes (33' pen.)
O'Keefe (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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