Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Stevenage 1-1 Derby County
Having lost just one home league game this season, Stevenage are a tough team to beat at the Lamex Stadium, and we think that they will produce a battling display to hold Derby to a draw in Saturday's encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Derby County |
31.88% ( -0.05) | 27.38% ( -0) | 40.74% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( 0) | 77.45% ( -0.01) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( -0.03) | 32.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.04) | 69.23% ( 0.03) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( 0.03) | 27.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.38% ( 0.04) | 62.61% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 31.88%
Derby County 40.73%
Draw 27.38%
| Stevenage | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.88% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.73% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Derby
Stevenage
50.0%Draw
0.0%Derby County
50.0%8
