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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Port Vale

With Port Vale winless in four away league games, the visitors will be desperate to claim all three points on Saturday, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side that are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head home meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
42.58%26.59%30.83%
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.22%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.5%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.58%
    Port Vale 30.83%
    Draw 26.59%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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