Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Paul Audrin
Rennes1 - 1Lens
We said: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Matches between these two are generally very evenly balanced, with both games last season ending level, while neither side have won by more than a single goal in their last six meetings. Based on their early form this season, we are expecting another closely contested encounter this weekend and feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Lens had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
43.09% ( -0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.23) | 32.06% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
