Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
41.36% ( -0.12) | 23.39% ( 0.04) | 35.25% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 63.5% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.88% ( -0.2) | 38.11% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.62% ( -0.22) | 60.38% ( 0.21) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( -0.14) | 18.85% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( -0.23) | 50.31% ( 0.22) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0.06) | 21.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( -0.08) | 54.93% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |