Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
24.48% ( 0.18) | 24.95% ( 0.16) | 50.56% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( -0.49) | 50.94% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( -0.43) | 72.81% ( 0.43) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% ( -0.11) | 35.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.68% ( -0.12) | 72.31% ( 0.11) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( -0.34) | 20.15% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% ( -0.53) | 52.43% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.48% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |