Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
40.07% ( 0.33) | 25.92% ( 0.03) | 34.01% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -0.21) | 50.1% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -0.18) | 72.07% ( 0.18) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( 0.08) | 24.65% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( 0.11) | 59.17% ( -0.11) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( -0.32) | 28.09% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.41) | 63.76% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |