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Ligue 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Brest logo

Rennes
4 - 5
Brest

Kalimuendo (4', 9'), Theate (68'), Terrier (79')
Terrier (45+1'), Matusiwa (56'), Kalimuendo (80'), Le Fee (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mounie (11'), Omari (48' og.), Satriano (54'), Camara (66'), Brassier (90+6')
Lees-Melou (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Brest

 Despite enjoying an impressive campaign, Brest appear to have lost a degree of momentum in their Champions League bid, and while that may be down to a tough run of fixtures, they face another difficult test at the weekend against a Rennes side rejuvenated by an important victory last time out, and we back the hosts to make it consecutive three-point hauls on Sunday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawBrest
48.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.4% (0.087 0.09) 27.33% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (-0.442 -0.44)46.42% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.417 -0.42)68.7% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.179 -0.18)19.31% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.291 -0.29)51.06% (0.285 0.28)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)30.81% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)67.08% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 48.26%
    Brest 27.33%
    Draw 24.39%
RennesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 7% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.33%

How you voted: Rennes vs Brest

Rennes
51.1%
Draw
31.1%
Brest
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-0
Rennes
Del Castillo (27'), Martin (80'), Chardonnet (90+3')
Assignon (73')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Brest
1-2
Rennes
Belkebla (36' pen.)
Magnetti (42'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Lemarechal (90+4')
Bourigeaud (13', 45+4')
Gouiri (42'), Meling (83'), Bourigeaud (85'), Alemdar (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
3-1
Brest
Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
Honorat (57')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 23
Rennes
2-0
Brest
Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')

Del Castillo (52')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Rennes
Le Douaron (90+1')
Honorat (39'), Brassier (44')
Guirassy (84')
Bourigeaud (44'), Ugochukwu (80'), Traore (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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