Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 1
Lyon

Cham (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mangala (53')
Orban (62'), Mata (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Clermont
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont did produce a crucial victory to keep their survival hopes alive when they met Reims recently, but Les Lanciers saw any momentum halted in another defeat last time out, while Lyon travel with plenty of confidence in fine form, and we see Sage's free-scoring side having too much for their hosts and prevailing on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lyon
27.31% ( 0.01)	23.49% ( 0)	49.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.88% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.62% (

-0)

42.38% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.21% (

-0.01)

64.79% (

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

28.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

0.01)

64.56% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.62% (

-0.01)

17.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.2% (

-0.01)

47.79% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Clermont 27.31%

Lyon 49.2%

Draw 23.49%

Clermont	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 27.31%	1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.2%