MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:30:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
2 - 0
Brest

Chavez (19'), Le Cardinal (45' og.)
Labeau (17'), Khusanov (83')
Machado (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amavi (25'), Faivre (67'), Magnetti (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, August 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Brest

After success on the opening weekend of Ligue 1 and during the Conference League earlier this week, Lens should be full of confidence as they take on Brest on Sunday. Les Pirates were woeful on home soil against Marseille last time out, and we feel that Eric Roy's side will suffer another defeat to conclude a challenging August. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
53.88% (0.223 0.22) 23.04% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 23.08% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.1 0.1)44.18% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.097000000000001 0.1)66.56% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.116 0.12)16.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.207 0.21)45.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)33.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.67% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lens 53.88%
    Brest 23.08%
    Draw 23.03%
LensDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens
81.5%
Draw
13.0%
Brest
5.6%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-0
Brest
Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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