MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:51:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Brest logo

Toulouse
0 - 3
Brest


Mawissa (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Camara (48'), Amavi (54'), Lala (90')
Pereira Lage (79'), Amavi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Toulouse
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Reims
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-3 Brest

Brest have been involved in some wildly entertaining games of late away from home, and given that they still have something to play for, we expect to see them push the intensity and find a way to overcome a Toulouse side that have improved a lot in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawBrest
39.02% (0.756 0.76) 25.87% (0.181 0.18) 35.11% (-0.943 -0.94)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.729 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.891 -0.89)49.7% (0.885 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.804 -0.8)71.71% (0.797 0.8)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.02% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.68% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)27.23% (0.97 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-1.284 -1.28)62.65% (1.278 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 39.02%
    Brest 35.11%
    Draw 25.86%
ToulouseDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Brest

Toulouse
35.1%
Draw
16.2%
Brest
48.6%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Satriano (90+2')
Camara (45+5'), Brassier (70')
Magri (27')
Spierings (10'), Magri (79')
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
3-1
Toulouse
Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Dallinga (10')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Toulouse
1-1
Brest
Aboukhlal (65')
Mounie (18')
Jan 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 20
Toulouse
2-5
Brest
Diakite (16', 21')
Vainqueur (84')
Court (7'), Charbonnier (72', 77'), Mbock (79'), Cardona (85')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Autret (25')
Koulouris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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