Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 6.15pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 2
Marseille

Nicolaisen (45+2'), Gboho (82')
Diarra (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Onana (38'), Moumbagna (90+6')
Murillo (33'), Ounahi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Marseille

With both sides fairly equal in terms of league position, we are expecting a close match between Toulouse and Marseille at Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday. Les Violets have been afforded longer to prepare for this clash due to Les Olympiens' European exploits, and we reckon that the hosts will be good enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Marseille
34.42% ( -0)	25.61%	39.97% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

48.66% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

70.77% (

-0)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

27.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-0)

62.55% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

24.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

58.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 34.42%

Marseille 39.97%

Draw 25.6%

Toulouse	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.97%