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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 4, 2025 at 8.35am UK
AAMI Park
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
vs.
Western Sydney

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Sydney FC vs. Victory
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Wellington
Sunday, December 22 at 6am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Adelaide United vs. Western Sydney
Friday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers has a probability of 24.4% and a draw has a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win is 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.31%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
54.3% (-1.869 -1.87) 21.29% (0.187 0.19) 24.4% (1.684 1.68)
Both teams to score 63.83% (1.511 1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42% (1.04 1.04)34.58% (-1.036 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48% (1.158 1.16)56.52% (-1.154 -1.15)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.203 -0.2)12.88% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (-0.423 -0.42)39.28% (0.428 0.43)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (1.903 1.9)26.74% (-1.9 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (2.445 2.45)62% (-2.441 -2.44)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 54.31%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 24.4%
    Draw 21.29%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.439 -0.44)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.072 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.239 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.257 0.26)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.134 0.13)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-4
Western Sydney
Machach (4'), Arzani (15', 55')
Ikonomidis (7'), Chapman (17')
Brook (20'), Milanovic (35'), Hammond (73'), Priestman (87')
Priestman (19'), Clisby (45+3')
Dec 10, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
3-4
Victory
Antonsson (57' pen., 88'), Yuel (90+1')
Milanovic (71')
Fornaroli (8', 45+1', 51', 74')
Machach (32')
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-1
Western Sydney
Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')
Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')
rhs 2.0
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