Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 27, 2022 at 9.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Newcastle Jets	5	2	5
8	Western Sydney Wanderers	5	-2	5
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
41.52%	24.11%	34.37%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19%

41.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79%

64.21%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28%

52.71%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.15%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 41.52%

Western Sydney Wanderers 34.37%

Draw 24.1%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.52%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.37%