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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 27, 2022 at 9.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
41.52%24.11%34.37%
Both teams to score 60.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79%64.21%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67%20.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28%52.71%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06%23.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84%58.15%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 41.52%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 34.37%
    Draw 24.1%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.37%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Sydney

Melbourne Victory
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Russell (55'), Petratos (80' pen.)
Cancar (89'), Margush (90+4')

Kelava (80')
Apr 23, 2021 10.05am
Victory
5-4
Western Sydney
Folami (14', 45+3'), Roux (28'), Ryan (63'), Butterfield (73')
McManaman (55'), Gestede (56'), Kruse (76'), Acton (90+6')
Troisi (31'), Dorrans (76' pen.), Duke (86'), Muller (88')
McGowan (45+2'), Ziegler (90')
Feb 10, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Dorrans (72' pen.), Yeboah (88')
Dorrans (22')

Gestede (68'), Kirdar (77')
Aug 12, 2020 11.10am
Western Sydney
2-1
Victory
Schwegler (34'), O'Doherty (62')
Jurman (20'), Cordier (22'), Schwegler (30')
Nabbout (66')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (32'), Anderson (49')
Oct 18, 2019 9.30am
Victory
1-2
Western Sydney
Toivonen (72' pen.)
Broxham (21'), Deng (21'), Donachie (68'), Athiu (92')
Baccus (54'), Meier (62')
Sullivan (31'), Adam (49')
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