Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.61% | 25.32% | 33.07% |
Both teams to score 55.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.29% | 47.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% | 69.91% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% | 22.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% | 56.53% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% | 63.03% |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |