Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
52.56% ( -0.05) | 21.39% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 65.32% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% ( -0.04) | 33.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.8% ( -0.05) | 55.19% ( 0.05) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% ( -0.03) | 13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.46% ( -0.06) | 39.53% ( 0.06) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( 0) | 24.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% ( 0) | 59.54% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
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