Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2024 at 8am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington1 - 0Victory
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.62% ( -0.41) | 22.98% ( -0.01) | 49.4% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.26) | 39.77% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% ( -0.27) | 62.13% ( 0.27) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.42) | 27.16% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.45% ( -0.55) | 62.56% ( 0.55) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.06) | 16.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.1) | 45.92% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix 27.62%
Melbourne Victory 49.4%
Draw 22.98%
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.4% |
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Form Guide
