Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 at 3am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington1 - 2Victory
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Adelaide United 5-1 Wellington
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Central Coast
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix might be the favourites heading into this one due to their league position, but with the visitors having secured a win last weekend and with more to fight for, they could secure a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.43% ( -0.38) | 25.08% ( 0.07) | 40.49% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.4) | 46.31% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0.38) | 68.59% ( 0.38) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.56) | 61.05% ( 0.55) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.03) | 22.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( -0.04) | 56.43% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix 34.43%
Melbourne Victory 40.49%
Draw 25.08%
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.49% |
How you voted: Wellington vs Victory
Wellington Phoenix
72.7%Draw
18.2%Melbourne Victory
9.1%11
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Feb 9, 2022 8.05am
Mar 24, 2021 8.05am
Form Guide
