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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 17, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United
5 - 1
Wellington

Wootton (16' og.), Jovanovic (23'), Barr (51'), Ibusuki (62'), Goodwin (71')
Barr (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rufer (54' pen.)
Mauragis (23'), Elliot (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 3-0 Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix will certainly head to Hindmarsh Stadium with plenty of confidence behind themselves and they will provide a stern test on Friday. However, the consistent results and strong attacking play that Adelaide United have displayed as of late should see them come out on top here to keep their title hunt alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
46.74% (-1.343 -1.34) 23.07% (0.012 0.01) 30.18% (1.328 1.33)
Both teams to score 62.53% (0.865 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (0.753 0.75)38.5% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (0.794 0.79)60.79% (-0.794 -0.79)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (-0.214 -0.21)16.83% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18% (-0.384 -0.38)46.82% (0.383 0.38)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (1.228 1.23)24.81% (-1.23 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (1.684 1.68)59.4% (-1.685 -1.69)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 46.74%
    Wellington Phoenix 30.19%
    Draw 23.07%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.325 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.199 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.206 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.163 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.128 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.19%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Wellington

Adelaide United
76.7%
Draw
9.3%
Wellington Phoenix
14.0%
43
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 2am
Oct 9, 2022 3am
Feb 12, 2022 5.50am
Wellington
1-1
Adelaide United
Sandoval (20')
Sail (90')
Oliveira (90+2')
Jakobsen (23')
Jan 1, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
4-0
Wellington
Blackwood (7'), Goodwin (54' pen., 69' pen.), Lopez (80')
Sanchez (48'), Kitto (58'), Tratt (75'), Mauk (87'), Lopez (90+1')

Waine (29'), Lewis (46'), (48'), Pennington (73')
May 7, 2021 10.35am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS


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