Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 11, 2023 at 6am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Prijovic (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
Irankunda (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 1-2 Adelaide United

This is likely going to be a close match despite the difference between them in the league as Western United have been in good form overall as of late. At home the Western Service Crew tend to provide a stern test for any team, but it is something the visitors should just be able to overcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
41.57% ( 0.54)	23.81% ( -0.06)	34.62% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 61.78% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7% (

0.19)

40.3% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.33% (

0.19)

62.67% (

-0.18)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.32)

19.67% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

0.52)

51.66% (

-0.51)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0.17)

23.09% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

-0.25)

56.94% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Western United 41.57%

Adelaide United 34.62%

Draw 23.8%

Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.62%